The tax didn't go up. If your refund is smaller than usual - or if you have to pay - it's not because the State became more expensive. It's because you already received that money throughout the year.
What happened in 2024?
To retroactively reflect the IRS rate reduction approved by the Government, the withholding tax tables were significantly reduced in August and September 2024. In practical terms, many workers received almost no IRS deduction in those two months - and some even received their full salary.
The result is simple: those who already received that money in advance now get less back - or may even be required to pay tax.
Withholding tax near zero in those two months
Smaller refund or possible payment at final settlement
Went down - IRS rates have been decreasing in recent years
Is this bad news?
Not necessarily. The president of the Certified Accountants Association, Paula Franco, argues that the current system is fairer: taxpayers receive more monthly, have the money in their pocket throughout the year, and settle with the State at the end - without excessive advance payments.
The problem is that many taxpayers got used to the State's "piggy bank": they received less month by month and had a larger refund at the end of the year. That model no longer applies.
Other reasons you may have to pay
- Having two jobs or income sources simultaneously - a situation that almost always implies additional payment
- Having obtained capital gains or investment income (stocks, funds, etc.) throughout the year
- Receiving income from other categories that were not subject to adequate withholding
What you can do to maximize your refund (in 2025, for 2026)
New features in the 2025 declaration
This year, filling out the IRS brings two noteworthy changes. The Youth IRS now has a more simplified activation option - although it's not fully automatic. And annex J (foreign income) introduces a specific section for capital gains held for more than one year, correcting a gap that in previous years caused excessive taxation for investors with foreign assets.





